零擔(dān)快運(yùn)萬億市場，或?qū)⒂瓉碚掀?/title> <meta http-equiv="X-UA-Compatible" content="IE=EmulateIE8" /> <meta http-equiv="expires" content="0"> <meta http-equiv="keywords" content=""> <meta http-equiv="description" content=""> <liNK rel=stylesheet type=text/css href="/images/page_new.css"> <link href="http://www.pjtvbandung.com/images/base.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css"> <link href="http://www.pjtvbandung.com/images/common.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css"> <link href="http://www.pjtvbandung.com/images/style_index.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css"> <link href="http://www.pjtvbandung.com/images/nivo-slider.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css"> <link href="http://www.pjtvbandung.com/images/default.css" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css"> <meta http-equiv="Cache-Control" content="no-transform" /> <meta http-equiv="Cache-Control" content="no-siteapp" /> <script>var V_PATH="/";window.onerror=function(){ return true; };</script> </head> <body> <h1><a 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cDGray">您現(xiàn)在的位置: <a href="http://www.pjtvbandung.com/index.html">首頁</a> > <a href="http://www.pjtvbandung.com/news/">資訊</a> > <a href="http://www.pjtvbandung.com/news/hyzx/">行業(yè)資訊</a> > 正文</div> <H1 id=artical_topic>零擔(dān)快運(yùn)萬億市場，或?qū)⒂瓉碚掀?/H1> <div class="skw4iyo" id=artical_sth> <P>時(shí)間：<SPAN>2018-08-13 09:14:04</SPAN> 點(diǎn)擊：<SPAN>次</SPAN><BR>來源：<SPAN><a target=_blank>億歐網(wǎng)</a></SPAN> 作者：<SPAN></SPAN></P> <H5><span id="skw4iyo" class=cmt>條評論</SPAN><SPAN class=print title=打印><A onclick=javascript:print(); href="javascript:void(0);">打印</A></SPAN><span id="skw4iyo" class=forword title=收藏><A href="/e/member/fava/add/?classid=42&id=28937">收藏</A></SPAN></H5></div> <div id="skw4iyo" class=line></div> <div class="skw4iyo" id=artical_real> <div class="skw4iyo" id="post_thumbnail" style="font-family: "PingFang SC", 微軟雅黑, arial, Regular; padding: 0px; margin: 40px auto 24px; word-break: break-all; word-wrap: break-word; outline: 0px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0); font-stretch: normal; line-height: 20px; position: relative; width: 680px; text-align: center; overflow: hidden;"><img src="http://img4.iyiou.com/Cover/2018-01-02/qita-lvsewuliu.jpg" alt="綠色物流貨運(yùn) ,零擔(dān)貨運(yùn),零擔(dān)物流,物流,貨運(yùn)" width="550" height="367" /></div> <div class="skw4iyo" id="post_description" deep="4"> <p>零擔(dān)貨運(yùn)商業(yè)模式多樣，市場細(xì)分化趨勢明顯。近幾年，資本對零擔(dān)快運(yùn)這一市場的關(guān)注和投入越來越高，資金流入明顯。仍商業(yè)模式上看，零擔(dān)貨運(yùn)大致可分為四種類型：直營模式（如德邦）、加盟模式（如安能）、聯(lián)盟模式（如先飛達(dá)物流）、代理模式（壹米滴答比較接近于這種模式）。此外，<strong>零擔(dān)市場細(xì)分化趨勢越來越明顯</strong>，其中德邦、順豐占據(jù)高端小票市場，安能、百世快運(yùn)占據(jù)平價(jià)小票市場，低價(jià)值小票由以河南宇鑫和長通物流為代表的區(qū)域網(wǎng)承攬，大票主要由專線企業(yè)運(yùn)輸。</p> <p>零擔(dān)貨運(yùn)的市場規(guī)模超萬億。公路貨運(yùn)是我國最主要的貨物運(yùn)輸方式，在運(yùn)輸結(jié)構(gòu)中占比最高。2009-2017 年，中國公路運(yùn)輸貨運(yùn)量占貨運(yùn)總量的比例均在75%以上，2017 年該占比為76.76%。2017 年，社會物流總費(fèi)用為12.1 萬億元，運(yùn)輸費(fèi)用為6.6 萬億元。按公路運(yùn)輸量占總體貨運(yùn)量的比例看，公路運(yùn)輸量的市場規(guī)模為5.07 萬億左右。各運(yùn)輸方式的價(jià)格排序?yàn)椋汉娇眨竟罚捐F路＞水運(yùn)，航空運(yùn)輸在中國貨運(yùn)量結(jié)構(gòu)中占比很小，公路貨運(yùn)量、鐵路貨運(yùn)量、水運(yùn)貨運(yùn)量占比較大。綜合以上因素，我們認(rèn)為公路運(yùn)輸?shù)氖袌鲆?guī)模約為5.5~6 萬億。據(jù)了解，公路零擔(dān)物流一般占公路運(yùn)輸規(guī)模的25%~30%，考慮零擔(dān)運(yùn)送主要為公路運(yùn)送，所以我們大致測算，零擔(dān)物流市場規(guī)模在1.3 萬億~1.8 萬億，與鯨略咨詢給出的1.37萬億的市場規(guī)模基本吻合。</p> <p><strong>市場集中度較低，行業(yè)或迎來整合期。</strong>我國零擔(dān)企業(yè)總數(shù)量超過13000家，但平均規(guī)模都較小，能達(dá)到上百億收入規(guī)模的企業(yè)只有德邦物流，行業(yè)集中度非常低。據(jù)測算，2017 年，零擔(dān)企業(yè)CR3 為1.6%，CR5 為2.06%，CR10 為2.86%，CR30 為4.13%。2017 年零擔(dān)企業(yè)前三十強(qiáng)營收門檻為4.2 億元，較16 年的3.4 億元有明顯提升，但仍處于較低水平。</p> <p><strong>相較于國內(nèi)的零擔(dān)物流格局，美國零擔(dān)市場已處于成熟階段，市場格局穩(wěn)定，集中度較高。</strong>在近三年內(nèi)，前10 大企業(yè)隊(duì)伍公司和排名均沒有變化。2017 年，美國零擔(dān)前25 強(qiáng)中利潤增速超過10%的僅有5 家。2017 年，美國零擔(dān)CR3 為35.24%，CR5 為50.17%，CR10 為74.59%，CR25 為91.41%，進(jìn)高于國內(nèi)水平。隨著資本介入的加深，我們預(yù)計(jì)，我國零擔(dān)貨運(yùn)行業(yè)將進(jìn)入整合期。</p> <p>我國零擔(dān)貨運(yùn)市場規(guī)模超萬億，但是相較于美國這種發(fā)達(dá)國家，行業(yè)集中度仍然較低。近年來，零擔(dān)行業(yè)得到越來越多的資本的重視，排名前幾位的零擔(dān)企業(yè)業(yè)務(wù)量也呈現(xiàn)高速增長。我們認(rèn)為，隨著資本的關(guān)注和介入，未來幾年將是行業(yè)整合期，當(dāng)前行業(yè)排名靠前、又受資本青睞的龍頭公司將會不斷提升市場份額，獲得快速發(fā)展。</p> <p>零擔(dān)貨運(yùn)市場面臨問題：①油價(jià)大幅上漲。當(dāng)前我國零擔(dān)快運(yùn)主要靠公路運(yùn)輸，如果油價(jià)大幅上漲，將會帶來成本端的上漲，有損快運(yùn)公司業(yè)績；②價(jià)格戰(zhàn)。零擔(dān)快運(yùn)行業(yè)與之前的快遞行業(yè)類似，參與者眾多，如果一旦出現(xiàn)價(jià)格戰(zhàn)的惡性競爭，將會對公司利潤產(chǎn)生較大影響；③加盟網(wǎng)店不穩(wěn)定。快運(yùn)行業(yè)有多種經(jīng)營模式，如果是加盟制運(yùn)營，加盟網(wǎng)店的動蕩將會對公司產(chǎn)生較大的負(fù)面影響。</p> </div><p align="center"></p> </div> <div id="skw4iyo" class=clear></div> <div class="skw4iyo" id=artical_line></div> <div style="BACKGROUND: none transparent scroll repeat 0% 0%" class=relateNews> <H4>相關(guān)新聞：</H4> <div id="skw4iyo" class="xgwz"> <ul><li><a href="http://www.pjtvbandung.com/news/hyzx/2018-08-13/28936.html" title="一秒定勝負(fù)：傳統(tǒng)物流PK現(xiàn)代物流">一秒定勝負(fù)：傳統(tǒng)物流PK現(xiàn)代物流</a></li><li><a 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